Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000140 0.000155 0.000171 0.000189 0.000209 0.000231 0.000257
2025-06-15 0.000113 0.000135 0.000159 0.000190 0.000228 0.000273 0.000331
2025-06-22 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000194 0.000247 0.000315 0.000409
2025-06-29 0.000085 0.000110 0.000144 0.000190 0.000254 0.000340 0.000468
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000098 0.000132 0.000182 0.000253 0.000354 0.000510
2025-07-13 0.000067 0.000092 0.000128 0.000183 0.000264 0.000384 0.000580
2025-07-20 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000185 0.000278 0.000420 0.000662
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000083 0.000122 0.000184 0.000284 0.000445 0.000729
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000080 0.000120 0.000187 0.000297 0.000481 0.000821
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000184 0.000302 0.000503 0.000889
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000072 0.000112 0.000183 0.000307 0.000527 0.000965
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000068 0.000108 0.000180 0.000310 0.000546 0.001034
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000063 0.000102 0.000173 0.000306 0.000555 0.001086
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000061 0.000100 0.000175 0.000318 0.000596 0.001213
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000059 0.000100 0.000179 0.000334 0.000646 0.001367
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000056 0.000096 0.000175 0.000335 0.000665 0.001458
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000168 0.000328 0.000666 0.001505
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000089 0.000168 0.000337 0.000705 0.001650
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000171 0.000350 0.000754 0.001831
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000169 0.000355 0.000785 0.001969
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000172 0.000369 0.000837 0.002178
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000170 0.000372 0.000863 0.002317
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000081 0.000168 0.000376 0.000895 0.002478